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David Manheim
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D Lakens, FG Adolfi, CJ Albers, F Anvari, MAJ Apps, SE Argamon, ...
Nature human behaviour 2 (3), 168-171, 2018
4912018
An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics
MA Johansson, KM Apfeldorf, S Dobson, J Devita, AL Buczak, B Baugher, ...
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116 (48), 24268-24274, 2019
1892019
Categorizing Variants of Goodhart's Law
D Manheim, S Garrabrant
https://arxiv.org/abs/1803.04585, 2018
100*2018
Terrorist Use of Cryptocurrencies: Technical and Organizational Barriers and Future Threats
C Dion-Schwarz, D Manheim, PB Johnston
RAND Corporation, 2019
842019
National Security Implications of Virtual Currency
J Baron, A O’Mahony, D Manheim, C Dion-Schwarz
Rand Corporation, 2015
682015
Flood Insurance in New York City Following Hurricane Sandy
LS Dixon, N Clancy, B Bender, A Kofner, D Manheim, L Zakaras
RAND, 2013
432013
How civil institutions build resilience
KS Langeland, D Manheim, G McLeod, G Nacouzi
Rand Corporation, 2016
40*2016
Testing, tracing and isolation in compartmental models
S Sturniolo, W Waites, T Colbourn, D Manheim, J Panovska-Griffiths
PLoS computational biology 17 (3), e1008633, 2021
392021
The fragile world hypothesis: Complexity, fragility, and systemic existential risk
D Manheim
Futures 122, 102570, 2020
34*2020
Improving decision support for infectious disease prevention and control
D Manheim, M Chamberlin, OA Osoba, R Vardavas, M Moore
Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corporation, 2016
302016
Building less flawed metrics
D Manheim
292018
Evaluating use cases for human challenge trials in accelerating SARS-CoV-2 vaccine development
LC Nguyen, CW Bakerlee, TG McKelvey, SM Rose, AJ Norman, N Joseph, ...
Clinical Infectious Diseases 72 (4), 710-715, 2021
282021
Forecasting AI progress: A research agenda
R Gruetzemacher, FE Dorner, N Bernaola-Alvarez, C Giattino, D Manheim
Technological Forecasting and Social Change 170, 120909, 2021
272021
Exploring risks of human challenge trials for COVID‐19
D Manheim, W Wiȩcek, V Schmit, J Morrison, ...
Risk Analysis 41 (5), 710-720, 2021
252021
Multiparty dynamics and failure modes for machine learning and artificial intelligence
D Manheim
Big Data and Cognitive Computing 3 (2), 21, 2019
23*2019
Terrorist use of cryptocurrencies
C Dion-Schwarz, D Manheim, PB Johnston
Technical and Organizational Barriers and Future Threats, Santa Monica, 2019
232019
Questioning estimates of natural pandemic risk
D Manheim
Health security 16 (6), 381-390, 2018
232018
A systematic review of human challenge trials, designs, and safety
J Adams-Phipps, D Toomey, W Więcek, V Schmit, J Wilkinson, K Scholl, ...
Clinical Infectious Diseases 76 (4), 609-619, 2023
202023
Improving C2 and situational awareness for operations in and through the information environment
C Paul, CP Clarke, BL Triezenberg, D Manheim, B Wilson
Rand, 2018
172018
Uncertainty-sensitive heterogeneous information fusion: assessing threat with soft, uncertain, and conflicting evidence
PK Davis, WL Perry, JS Hollywood, D Manheim
Rand Corporation, 2016
16*2016
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