| Real-time nowcasting and forecasting of COVID-19 dynamics in England: the first wave P Birrell, J Blake, E Van Leeuwen, N Gent, D De Angelis Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20200279, 2021 | 98 | 2021 |
| Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling B Swallow, P Birrell, J Blake, M Burgman, P Challenor, LE Coffeng, ... Epidemics 38, 100547, 2022 | 38 | 2022 |
| Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK S Funk, S Abbott, BD Atkins, M Baguelin, JK Baillie, P Birrell, J Blake, ... MedRxiv, 2020.11. 11.20220962, 2020 | 36 | 2020 |
| Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: conceptual and statistical challenges L Pellis, PJ Birrell, J Blake, CE Overton, F Scarabel, HB Stage, ... Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 185 …, 2022 | 26 | 2022 |
| COVID-19: nowcast and forecast P Birrell, J Blake, E van Leeuwen | 17 | 2020 |
| SARS-CoV-2, influenza A/B and respiratory syncytial virus positivity and association with influenza-like illness and self-reported symptoms, over the 2022/23 winter season in … E Dietz, E Pritchard, K Pouwels, M Ehsaan, J Blake, C Gaughan, E Haduli, ... BMC medicine 22 (1), 143, 2024 | 6 | 2024 |
| Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK. medRxiv. 2020; 2020.11. 11.20220962 S Funk, S Abbott, BD Atkins, M Baguelin, JK Baillie, P Birrell, J Blake, ... URL http://medrxiv. org/content/early/2020/12/04/2020.11 11, 0 | 4 | |
| On the use of LFA tests in contact tracing: preliminary findings E Fearon, M Fyles, T House, L Pellis, I Hall, C Jay, P Crowther, HB Stage, ... | 3 | 2020 |
| Real-time modelling of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in England 2020-2023: A challenging data integration PJ Birrell, J Blake, J Kandiah, A Alexopoulos, E van Leeuwen, K Pouwels, ... arXiv preprint arXiv:2408.04178, 2024 | 2 | 2024 |
| Misclassification bias in estimating clinical severity of SARS-CoV-2 variants–Authors' reply T Nyberg, NM Ferguson, J Blake, W Hinsley, S Bhatt, D De Angelis, ... The Lancet 400 (10355), 809-810, 2022 | 1 | 2022 |
| Estimating SARS-CoV-2 transmission in England from randomly sampled prevalence surveys J Blake | | 2024 |
| Authors’ Reply to the Discussion of ‘Estimation of Reproduction Numbers in Real Time: Conceptual and Statistical Challenges’ by Pellis et al. in Session 3 of The Royal … L Pellis, PJ Birrell, J Blake, I Hall, TA House, CE Overton, F Scarabel, ... Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 185 …, 2022 | | 2022 |
Paul BirrellUK Health Security AgencyVerified email at ukhsa.gov.uk
